Brent Oil Technical Analysis | Brent Oil Trading: 2019-01-07 | IFCM UK
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Brent Oil Technical Analysis - Brent Oil Trading: 2019-01-07

OPEC + Decision on Cutting Production Entered into Force

The decision of OPEC and independent producers to reduce oil production came into force. Will it lead to Brent quotes growth?

Under the OPEC + agreement, the total reduction in oil production should be 1.2 million barrels per day. Of these, the OPEC share is 800 thousand barrels per day, and another 400 thousand must be provided by independent producers. In December, the production of the cartel has already decreased to 460 thousand barrels per day. Mainly due to this, last week, commercial oil reserves in the United States decreased by 4.5 million barrels. This numbers were announced by the independent American Petroleum Institute. According to official information from the Energy Information Administration, oil reserves in the US have grown. The next weekly records, that will be released on Wednesday, can significantly affect the dynamics of oil quotations. Another important influencing factor may be the outcome of the US-China trade negotiations, that will be held during January 7-8, 2019 in Beijing. The reduction of the intensity in mutual trade war can revive the global economy and increase the demand for oil.

Brent

On the daily timeframe, Brent: D1 has broken the downtrend resistance line upwards and adjusts upwards. Further growth of quotations is possible in the event of a reduction in world production and in case of an increase in demand.

  • Parabolic indicator shows a signal to increase.
  • The Bollinger bands have expanded, indicating a high volatility.
  • The RSI indicator is above the 50 mark. It has formed a divergence to increase.
  • The MACD indicator shows a signal to increase.

We do not rule out a bullish move if Brent exceeds its last maximum and 1st Fibonacci level: 59. This level can be used as an entry point. The initial risk limit is possibly below the last lower fractal, the minimum since August 2017 and the Parabolic signal: 50. After opening a pending order, move stop following the signals of Bollinger and Parabolic to the next fractal minimum. Thus, we change the potential profit / loss ratio to our advantage. After making a deal, the most cautious traders can switch to a four-hour chart and set a stop loss by moving it in the market direction. If the price overcomes the stop level (50) without activating the order (59), it is recommended to delete the pending order: internal changes occur in the market that were not taken into consideration.

Technical Analysis Summary

PositionBuy
Buy stopAbove 59
Stop lossBelow 50

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Note:
This overview has an informative and tutorial character and is published for free. All the data, included in the overview, are received from public sources, recognized as more or less reliable. Moreover, there is no guarantee that the indicated information is full and precise. Overviews are not updated. The whole information in each overview, including opinion, indicators, charts and anything else, is provided only for familiarization purposes and is not financial advice or а recommendation. The whole text and its any part, as well as the charts cannot be considered as an offer to make a deal with any asset. IFC Markets and its employees under any circumstances are not liable for any action taken by someone else during or after reading the overview.

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