Arabica Coffee Technical Analysis | Arabica Coffee Trading: 2020-10-14 | IFCM UK
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Arabica Coffee Technical Analysis - Arabica Coffee Trading: 2020-10-14

COFFEE Technical Analysis Summary

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Strong SellSellNeutralBuyStrong Buy

Above 114

Buy Stop

Below 105

Stop Loss

Mary Wild
Senior Analytical Expert
Articles 2058
IndicatorSignal
RSI Buy
MACD Buy
MA(200) Neutral
Fractals Neutral
Parabolic SAR Buy
Bollinger Bands Neutral

COFFEE Chart Analysis

COFFEE Chart Analysis

COFFEE Technical Analysis

On the daily timeframe, Coffee: D1 approached the resistance line of the short-term downtrend. It must be broken upward before opening a position. A number of technical analysis indicators generated signals for further growth. We do not rule out a bullish move if Coffee rises above the last fractal upper and 200-day moving average line: 114. This level can be used as an entry point. We can place a stop loss below the Parabolic signal and 2 last lower fractals: 105. After opening a pending order, we move the stop loss following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals to the next fractal minimum. Thus, we change the potential profit/loss ratio in our favor. After the transaction, the most risk-averse traders can switch to the four-hour chart and set a stop-loss, moving it in the direction of the bias. If the price meets the stop loss (105) without activating the order (114), it is recommended to delete the order: some internal changes in the market have not been taken into account.

Fundamental Analysis of Commodities - COFFEE

The U.S. Climate Prediction Center forecasts the formation of "La Nina" natural phenomenon this year, which could cause drought in Brazil. Will the Coffee quotes grow?

U.S. Climate Prediction Center, Somar Meteorologia and Marex Spectron predict drought in Brazil in Q4 this year. This can reduce the coffee yield. In addition, Colombia announced a 12% decline in coffee exports in September. The International Coffee Organization (ICO) predicts a decline in world coffee exports in October-August by 5.6% y/y to 116.54 million bags. Department of Vietnam Customs reported a 1.4% drop in coffee exports in January-September to 1.25 million tonnes. Earlier, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) prօjected a drop in coffee production in Vietnam in the 2020/21 season by 3.5% y/y to 30.2 million bags

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Note:
This overview has an informative and tutorial character and is published for free. All the data, included in the overview, are received from public sources, recognized as more or less reliable. Moreover, there is no guarantee that the indicated information is full and precise. Overviews are not updated. The whole information in each overview, including opinion, indicators, charts and anything else, is provided only for familiarization purposes and is not financial advice or а recommendation. The whole text and its any part, as well as the charts cannot be considered as an offer to make a deal with any asset. IFC Markets and its employees under any circumstances are not liable for any action taken by someone else during or after reading the overview.

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