fb#C-RICE Price Forecast | Global rice exports may decline | IFCM UK

Technical Analysis #C-RICE : 2020-08-05

Recommendation for Rough Rice:

Buy
Strong SellSellNeutralBuyStrong Buy

Above 11.9

Buy Stop

Below 11

Stop Loss

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IndicatorValueSignal
RSI Neutral
MACD Buy
MA(200) Neutral
Fractals Neutral
Parabolic SAR Buy
Bollinger Bands Neutral

Chart Analysis

IFC Markets Tech Analysis

On the daily timeframe, Rice: D1 approached the resistance line of the short-term downtrend. It must be broken upward before opening a position. A number of technical analysis indicators formed signals for further growth. We do not exclude a bullish bias if Rice soars above the last upper fractal: 11.9. This level can be used as an entry point. We can place a stop loss below the Parabolic signal, the lower Bollinger line, the annual minimum and the last lower fractal: 11. After opening a pending order, we move the stop loss following the Bollinger and Parabolic signals to the next fractal minimum. Thus, we change the potential profit/loss ratio in our favor. After the transaction, the most risk-averse traders can switch to a four-hour chart and set a stop loss, moving it in the direction of the bias. If the price meets the stop loss (11) without activating the order (11.9), it is recommended to delete the order: the market sustained internal changes not taken into account.

Fundamental Analysis

India and Thailand will cut rice exports. Will the Rice price grow?

The Indian Rice Exporters Association forecasts a decline in rice exports from India by about 100,000 tons per month over the next few months. The main reason for this was the reduction in the number and work time of port workers due to Covid-19. In the East Godavari district of India, where the largest rice marine terminal of Kakinada is located, Covid-19 infects about 1,000 people every day. The Thai Rice Exporters Association lowered its rice export forecast from Thailand in 2020 to 6.5 million tons, the lowest in the last 20 years. From January to June 2020, Thailand exported only 3.14 million tons of rice, which is about a third of what it was last year. Thailand is the world’s leading rice exporter. India ranks second and Vietnam third.

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